Can Facebook predict which new fall shows get canceled first?

Does the number of likes a new TV show has (or doesn’t have) on Facebook correlate to the show being canceled? Let’s find out.

There are 25 new shows starting soon on the five big networks. Here’s a look at how many likes each one has on Facebook.

According to this info, we’ll be hearing about the cancellation of Kevin Dillon’s CBS show “How to Be a Gentleman” any day now.

1. The X Factor – 3,343,443
2. Once Upon a Time – 188,018
3. Revenge – 122,476
4. Charlie’s Angels – 118,676
5. The Playboy Club – 98,399
6. Pan Am – 88,222
7. Up All Night – 79,325
8. Whitney – 60,458
9. Ringer – 55,130
10. New Girl – 53,126
11. The Secret Code – 46,388
12. Suburgatory – 40,342
13. The Hart of Dixie – 19,603
14. Prime Suspect – 17,150
15. Terra Nova – 13,728
16. 2 Broke Girls – 9,198
17. Grimm – 9,146
18. Person of Interest – 7,641
19. Free Agents – 7,100
20. H8R – 4,306
21. A Gifted Man – 3,965
22. Last Man Standing – 3,307
23. Unforgettable – 2,626
24. Man Up – 1,825
25. How to Be a Gentleman – 987

I’ll update this list as shows are canceled to see how well Facebook predicts such things.

UPDATE: Shows canceled so far: The Playboy Club, How to Be a Gentleman, Free Agents, H8R